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“i Rusi imaju „lošu“ naviku da „jedu“ makar jednom dnevno”

Vladimir-Putin-riding-nuclear-missile

Vladimir Putin ne vlada Rusijom sam već „kolektivni Putin“, koga čine najmoćniji ljudi u Kremlju. Taj „kolektivni Putin“ definitivno neće izgubiti vlast, kaže za Radio Slobodna Evropa Igor Sutjagin,ruski stručnjak za nukealrno naoružanje.

“Putin je član tog ‘kolektivnog Putina’ i ako to telo odluči da on mora da ode sa vlasti, to će se i desiti. U ovom trenutku on se pozicinirao kao pobednik. Dakle, stalno su mu potrebne nove pobede. Međutim, u Ukrajini gubi. Ali, on ne može sebi da dozvoli poraz jer gubtnici ne mogu da politički opstanu u totalitarnim režimima. Zato mu je potrebna nova pobeda. Stoga mu je mali pobednički rat u Siriji sasvim dovoljan“, smatra Sutjagin, nekadašnji načelnik odeljenja za vojno-tehnička pitanja na Institutu za američke i kanadske studije pri Akademiji nauka Rusije.

Uhapšen je 1999. po optužbi za izdaju i špijunažu iako nije imao pristup poverljivim dokumentima kao civilni istražival. Proveo je 11 godina u zatvoru. Oslobođen je i razmenjen sa grupom špijuna uhapšenih u SAD. Od 2014. radi kao analitičar na Kraljevskom institutu za studije odbrane i bezbednosti u Londonu (Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies). Continue reading ““i Rusi imaju „lošu“ naviku da „jedu“ makar jednom dnevno””

Posted in Blog

Gaming a Russian Offensive | Stratfor

A Russian flag flies near pro-Russia militants sitting atop a 2S1 Gvozdika self-propelled howitzer as a convoy takes a break in the Donetsk region. (VASILY MAXIMOV/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

Editor’s Note: As part of our analytical methodology, Stratfor periodically conducts internal military simulations. This series, examining the scenarios under which Russian and Western forces might come into direct conflict in Ukraine, reflects such an exercise. It thus differs from our regular analyses in several ways and is not intended as a forecast. This series reflects the results of meticulous examination of the military capabilities of both Russia and NATO and the constraints on those forces. It is intended as a means to measure the intersection of political intent and political will as constrained by actual military capability. This study is not a definitive exercise; instead it is a review of potential decision-making by military planners. We hope readers will gain from this series a better understanding of military options in the Ukraine crisis and how the realities surrounding use of force could evolve if efforts to implement a cease-fire fail and the crisis escalates. Continue reading “Gaming a Russian Offensive | Stratfor”

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Garry Kasparov: Putin’s Culture of Fear and Death

Russia's opposition supporters carry a banner reading These bullets in each of us during a march in memory of murdered Kremlin critic Boris Nemtsov in central Moscow on March 1, 2015. Russia’s opposition supporters carry a banner reading These bullets in each of us during a march in memory of murdered Kremlin critic Boris Nemtsov in central Moscow on March 1, 2015. Photo: Agence France-Presse/Getty Images
Boris Nemtsov, my longtime friend and colleague in the Russian opposition, was murdered in the middle of Moscow on Friday night. Four bullets in the back ended his life in sight of the Kremlin, where he once worked as Boris Yeltsin ’s deputy prime minister. Photos showed a cleaning crew scrubbing his blood off the pavement within hours of the murder, so it is not difficult to imagine the quality of the investigation to come. Continue reading “Garry Kasparov: Putin’s Culture of Fear and Death”